Adaptive Risk Management

Survey

  1. Determine areas of danger
  2. Qualify with specific conditions of occurrence
  3. Calculate chances of occurrence
  4. Rate severity of consequences

Determine Importance

  1. Categorize by chance of occurrence and severity of the consequences
  2. For those of sufficient importance determine:
  • Effective strategies to reduce the odds
  • Effective strategies to reduce the severity of the consequences

Strategize

  1. Categorize strategies as to degree of effectiveness and cost to implement
  2. Include cost of lost opportunities as well as outlays of time and money
  3. Choose most workable, most cost effective strategies

Prepare (Detailed Strategy and Tactics)

Train

  1. Human psychology
  2. Animal Psychology
  3. Self-defence
  4. Running
  5. Swimming
  6. Home security
  7. First aid, CPR, Breath of Life
  8. Defensive driving

Purchase equipment

  1. House, vehicle and personal alarms
  2. House lighting
  3. House and vehicle locks
  4. Weapons
  5. Communications Devices

Prepare Environment

  1. House, vehicle and personal alarms
  2. House lighting
  3. House and vehicle locks
  4. Weapons
  5. Communications Devices

Practice Strategy and Tactics

 

  1. Self-defence scenarios
  • Escapes from holds and pins
  • Avoiding blows
  • Hitting and throwing
  1. Using escape routes
  2. Using environment as an aid
  3. Use of self-defence devices
  4. Running
  5. Swimming
  6. First aid, CPR, Breath of Life
  7. Defensive driving

 

 

 Execute

    1. Implement strategies to reduce probability of risk
    2. Monitor the environment for risky situations
    3. Avoid situation which are detected early
    4. Deal with situations which are detected late
      1. Flee
      2. Seek Assistance from others
      3. Utilize Environment for Assistance
      4. Hide
      5. Find a weapon
      6. Throw up obstacles
      7. Put yourself in a protected position
            • up a tree
            • in a car
            • in a locked room
      1. Deal with situation using psychology
            • defuse if possible
            • intimidate if feasible (rarely successful without a weapon and will)
      1. Deal with situation at a physical level
            • Fight back with intent
            • Get a weapon if necessary
    1. Deal with the aftermath
      1. Medical assistance for you, and perhaps assailant
      2. Police
      3. Lawyer

 Assess

    1. To what degree was I successful?
    2. Have I been able to implement my plan?
    3. Do the dangers, probabilities, and consequences still seem realistically understood?
    4. Did the strategies and tactics work?
        • Did my measures to reduce the chances of problems work?
        • Did my measures to reduce the severity of the consequences work?
        • Do I need more training and more practice?
    1. What should I do to reassess the dangers and the risk management measures?